Stade de 4 Aout
Burkina Faso
1-1
Benin
Burkina Faso – Benin
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Burkina Faso 1-1 Benin. The model predicted a win for Burkina Faso (58 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.55 goals for Burkina Faso and 0.89 for Benin. Bookmakers say the same thing: 61 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Burkina Faso took 4 points and Benin 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Burkina Faso, 0 draws, 0 wins for Benin. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Burkina Faso | 1.48 | 61 % | -14.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 25 % | -16.8 % |
| 2Benin | 6.50 | 14 % | +24.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Burkina Faso
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Benin
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Burkina Faso
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Benin
- Burkina Faso3-0Benin
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Burkina Faso – Benin?
Final score: Burkina Faso 1-1 Benin. The model predicted a win for Burkina Faso (58 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Burkina Faso – Benin?
Our model gives 1 · Burkina Faso a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Burkina Faso win 58 %, draw 23 %, Benin win 19 %.