Hocine Aït Ahmed Stadium
Algeria
3-1
Zambia
Algeria – Zambia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 75 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.13 – 0.70
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Algeria 3-1 Zambia. The model predicted a win for Algeria (75 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.13 goals for Algeria and 0.70 for Zambia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 75 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Algeria took 7 points and Zambia 2 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Algeria | 1.21 | 75 % | -9.2 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 18 % | -25.0 % |
| 2Zambia | 13.00 | 7 % | +29.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Algeria
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Zambia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Algeria – Zambia?
Final score: Algeria 3-1 Zambia. The model predicted a win for Algeria (75 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Algeria – Zambia?
Our model gives 1 · Algeria a 75 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Algeria win 75 %, draw 15 %, Zambia win 10 %.