Türkiye
0-1
France
Türkiye – France
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.61
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Türkiye 0-1 France. The model predicted a win for France (46 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.29 goals for Türkiye and 1.61 for France. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 69 %. Over their last five matches, Türkiye took 9 points and France 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Türkiye | 7.50 | 12 % | +132.9 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 18 % | +13.0 % |
| 2France | 1.33 | 69 % | -38.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Türkiye
- Last 5 matches
- At home
France
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Türkiye – France?
Final score: Türkiye 0-1 France. The model predicted a win for France (46 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Türkiye – France?
Our model gives 2 · France a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Türkiye win 31 %, draw 23 %, France win 46 %.