Sweden
2-1
Romania
Sweden – Romania
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.80 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sweden 2-1 Romania. The model predicted a win for Sweden (53 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.80 goals for Sweden and 1.15 for Romania. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 64 %. Over their last five matches, Sweden took 5 points and Romania 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sweden | 1.45 | 64 % | -23.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | -0.5 % |
| 2Romania | 6.00 | 15 % | +50.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sweden
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Romania
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sweden – Romania?
Final score: Sweden 2-1 Romania. The model predicted a win for Sweden (53 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sweden – Romania?
Our model gives 1 · Sweden a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sweden win 53 %, draw 22 %, Romania win 25 %.