Montenegro
2-1
Cyprus
Montenegro – Cyprus
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.61 – 1.13
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus. The model predicted a win for Montenegro (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.61 goals for Montenegro and 1.13 for Cyprus. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Montenegro took 7 points and Cyprus 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Montenegro | 1.76 | 53 % | -13.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 26 % | -18.0 % |
| 2Cyprus | 4.40 | 21 % | +19.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Montenegro
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cyprus
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Montenegro – Cyprus?
Final score: Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus. The model predicted a win for Montenegro (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Montenegro – Cyprus?
Our model gives 1 · Montenegro a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Montenegro win 49 %, draw 23 %, Cyprus win 27 %.