Hungary
0-1
Ukraine
Hungary – Ukraine
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 1.12
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Hungary 0-1 Ukraine. The model predicted a win for Hungary (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.54 goals for Hungary and 1.12 for Ukraine. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 41 %. Over their last five matches, Hungary took 10 points and Ukraine 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hungary | 2.25 | 41 % | +6.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -21.6 % |
| 2Ukraine | 3.15 | 30 % | -11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hungary
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ukraine
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hungary – Ukraine?
Final score: Hungary 0-1 Ukraine. The model predicted a win for Hungary (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Hungary – Ukraine?
Our model gives 1 · Hungary a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hungary win 47 %, draw 25 %, Ukraine win 28 %.