Georgia
0-1
Northern Ireland
Georgia – Northern Ireland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.46 – 1.08
The short version
Final score: Georgia 0-1 Northern Ireland. The model predicted a win for Georgia (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.46 goals for Georgia and 1.08 for Northern Ireland. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Georgia took 8 points and Northern Ireland 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Georgia | 1.83 | 50 % | -13.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -14.3 % |
| 2Northern Ireland | 4.20 | 22 % | +13.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Georgia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Northern Ireland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Georgia – Northern Ireland?
Final score: Georgia 0-1 Northern Ireland. The model predicted a win for Georgia (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Georgia – Northern Ireland?
Our model gives 1 · Georgia a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Georgia win 47 %, draw 26 %, Northern Ireland win 27 %.