Armenia
2-0
Latvia
Armenia – Latvia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Armenia 2-0 Latvia. The model predicted a win for Armenia (38 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for Armenia and 1.23 for Latvia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Armenia took 2 points and Latvia 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Armenia, 0 draws, 1 win for Latvia. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Armenia | 1.80 | 51 % | -32.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -11.0 % |
| 2Latvia | 4.20 | 22 % | +53.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Armenia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Latvia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Armenia
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Latvia
- Latvia1-2Armenia
- Armenia4-1Latvia
- Latvia2-0Armenia
- Armenia2-1Latvia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Armenia – Latvia?
Final score: Armenia 2-0 Latvia. The model predicted a win for Armenia (38 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Armenia – Latvia?
Our model gives 1 · Armenia a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Armenia win 38 %, draw 26 %, Latvia win 36 %.