Amaan Stadium
Tanzania
0-2
Guinea-Bissau
Tanzania – Guinea-Bissau
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 0.90
The short version
Final score: Tanzania 0-2 Guinea-Bissau. The model predicted a win for Tanzania (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.28 goals for Tanzania and 0.90 for Guinea-Bissau. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 41 %. Over their last five matches, Tanzania took 5 points and Guinea-Bissau 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 37 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tanzania | 2.25 | 41 % | +9.5 % |
| XDraw | 2.90 | 32 % | -22.9 % |
| 2Guinea-Bissau | 3.35 | 27 % | -17.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Tanzania
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Guinea-Bissau
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tanzania – Guinea-Bissau?
Final score: Tanzania 0-2 Guinea-Bissau. The model predicted a win for Tanzania (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Tanzania – Guinea-Bissau?
Our model gives 1 · Tanzania a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tanzania win 49 %, draw 27 %, Guinea-Bissau win 25 %.