Australia
1-1
Brazil
Australia – Brazil
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.16 – 1.39
The short version
Final score: Australia 1-1 Brazil. The model predicted a win for Brazil (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.16 goals for Australia and 1.39 for Brazil. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 74 %. Over their last five matches, Australia took 6 points and Brazil 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Australia | 9.50 | 10 % | +199.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | +43.1 % |
| 2Brazil | 1.27 | 74 % | -44.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Australia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brazil
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Australia – Brazil?
Final score: Australia 1-1 Brazil. The model predicted a win for Brazil (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Australia – Brazil?
Our model gives 2 · Brazil a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Australia win 32 %, draw 25 %, Brazil win 44 %.