Serbia
1-2
Greece
Serbia – Greece
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.27 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Serbia 1-2 Greece. The model predicted a win for Greece (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.27 goals for Serbia and 1.38 for Greece. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Serbia took 6 points and Greece 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Serbia | 2.65 | 35 % | -7.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -20.4 % |
| 2Greece | 2.60 | 36 % | +4.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Serbia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Greece
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Serbia – Greece?
Final score: Serbia 1-2 Greece. The model predicted a win for Greece (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Serbia – Greece?
Our model gives 2 · Greece a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Serbia win 35 %, draw 25 %, Greece win 40 %.