Norway
3-2
Denmark
Norway – Denmark
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.78 – 1.32
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Norway 3-2 Denmark. The model predicted a win for Norway (53 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.78 goals for Norway and 1.32 for Denmark. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Norway took 9 points and Denmark 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Norway, 0 draws, 1 win for Denmark. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Norway | 1.71 | 54 % | -9.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -19.4 % |
| 2Denmark | 4.10 | 22 % | +9.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Norway
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Denmark
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Norway
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Denmark
- Denmark3-1Norway
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Norway – Denmark?
Final score: Norway 3-2 Denmark. The model predicted a win for Norway (53 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Norway – Denmark?
Our model gives 1 · Norway a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Norway win 53 %, draw 21 %, Denmark win 27 %.