Liechtenstein
0-2
Lithuania
Liechtenstein – Lithuania
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.92 – 1.59
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Liechtenstein 0-2 Lithuania. The model predicted a win for Lithuania (53 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.92 goals for Liechtenstein and 1.59 for Lithuania. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 72 %. Over their last five matches, Liechtenstein took 3 points and Lithuania 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Liechtenstein | 10.50 | 9 % | +146.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | +12.3 % |
| 2Lithuania | 1.29 | 72 % | -32.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Liechtenstein
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lithuania
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Liechtenstein – Lithuania?
Final score: Liechtenstein 0-2 Lithuania. The model predicted a win for Lithuania (53 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Liechtenstein – Lithuania?
Our model gives 2 · Lithuania a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Liechtenstein win 23 %, draw 24 %, Lithuania win 53 %.