Austria
3-1
Israel
Austria – Israel
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.05 – 0.93
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Austria 3-1 Israel. The model predicted a win for Austria (67 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.05 goals for Austria and 0.93 for Israel. Bookmakers say the same thing: 66 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Austria took 7 points and Israel 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Austria | 1.40 | 66 % | -6.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.80 | 19 % | -8.7 % |
| 2Israel | 6.50 | 14 % | -6.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Austria
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Israel
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Austria – Israel?
Final score: Austria 3-1 Israel. The model predicted a win for Austria (67 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Austria – Israel?
Our model gives 1 · Austria a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Austria win 67 %, draw 19 %, Israel win 14 %.