Stade Larbi Zaouli
Mauritania
3-1
Central African Republic
Mauritania – Central African Republic
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 0.86
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Mauritania 3-1 Central African Republic. The model predicted a win for Mauritania (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for Mauritania and 0.86 for Central African Republic. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Mauritania took 2 points and Central African Republic 3 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Mauritania, 0 draws, 1 win for Central African Republic. Over 2.5 goals: 39 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mauritania | 1.71 | 53 % | -14.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 28 % | -16.2 % |
| 2Central African Republic | 5.00 | 18 % | +18.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Mauritania
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Central African Republic
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Mauritania
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Central African Republic
- Central African Republic2-1Mauritania
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mauritania – Central African Republic?
Final score: Mauritania 3-1 Central African Republic. The model predicted a win for Mauritania (50 %): correct prediction.