11 June Stadium
Libya
2-2
Botswana
Libya – Botswana
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-015 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 0.85
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Libya 2-2 Botswana. The model predicted a win for Libya (51 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for Libya and 0.85 for Botswana. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Libya took 7 points and Botswana 1 point. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Libya, 0 draws, 1 win for Botswana. Over 2.5 goals: 37 %. Both teams to score: 42 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Libya | 1.58 | 58 % | -19.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 27 % | -11.9 % |
| 2Botswana | 6.00 | 15 % | +37.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Libya
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Botswana
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Libya
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Botswana
- Botswana1-0Libya
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Libya – Botswana?
Final score: Libya 2-2 Botswana. The model predicted a win for Libya (51 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Libya – Botswana?
Our model gives 1 · Libya a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Libya win 51 %, draw 26 %, Botswana win 23 %.