Stade des Martyrs
Congo DR
2-0
Equatorial Guinea
Congo DR – Equatorial Guinea
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 1-015 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.74 – 0.72
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Congo DR 2-0 Equatorial Guinea. The model predicted a win for Congo DR (67 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.74 goals for Congo DR and 0.72 for Equatorial Guinea. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 72 %. Over their last five matches, Congo DR took 4 points and Equatorial Guinea 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Congo DR | 1.27 | 72 % | -15.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.80 | 19 % | -1.2 % |
| 2Equatorial Guinea | 11.00 | 8 % | +40.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Congo DR
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Equatorial Guinea
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Congo DR – Equatorial Guinea?
Final score: Congo DR 2-0 Equatorial Guinea. The model predicted a win for Congo DR (67 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Congo DR – Equatorial Guinea?
Our model gives 1 · Congo DR a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Congo DR win 67 %, draw 21 %, Equatorial Guinea win 13 %.