Uzbekistan
3-1
Iran
Uzbekistan – Iran
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Uzbekistan 3-1 Iran. The model predicted a win for Iran (38 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.24 goals for Uzbekistan and 1.23 for Iran. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Uzbekistan took no points and Iran 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Uzbekistan, 5 draws, 0 wins for Iran. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Uzbekistan | 3.00 | 31 % | +9.0 % |
| XDraw | 2.85 | 33 % | -26.5 % |
| 2Iran | 2.65 | 36 % | +0.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Uzbekistan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Iran
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Uzbekistan
- 5 draws
- 0 wins
- Iran
- Uzbekistan0-0Iran
- Iran2-2Uzbekistan
- Uzbekistan0-0Iran
- Iran0-0Uzbekistan
- Uzbekistan2-2Iran
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Uzbekistan – Iran?
Final score: Uzbekistan 3-1 Iran. The model predicted a win for Iran (38 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Uzbekistan – Iran?
Our model gives 2 · Iran a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Uzbekistan win 36 %, draw 26 %, Iran win 38 %.