Botswana National Stadium
Namibia
1-0
Congo
Namibia – Congo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 0.87
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Namibia 1-0 Congo. The model predicted a win for Namibia (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.31 goals for Namibia and 0.87 for Congo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 39 %. Over their last five matches, Namibia took 1 point and Congo 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 37 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Namibia | 2.35 | 39 % | +20.6 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 31 % | -23.6 % |
| 2Congo | 3.15 | 29 % | -28.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Namibia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Congo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Namibia – Congo?
Final score: Namibia 1-0 Congo. The model predicted a win for Namibia (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Namibia – Congo?
Our model gives 1 · Namibia a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Namibia win 51 %, draw 26 %, Congo win 23 %.