South Korea
3-0
Ecuador
South Korea – Ecuador
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.08
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: South Korea 3-0 Ecuador. The model predicted a win for South Korea (44 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.36 goals for South Korea and 1.08 for Ecuador. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, South Korea took 9 points and Ecuador 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1South Korea | 2.20 | 43 % | -2.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -17.8 % |
| 2Ecuador | 3.25 | 29 % | +0.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
South Korea
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ecuador
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of South Korea – Ecuador?
Final score: South Korea 3-0 Ecuador. The model predicted a win for South Korea (44 %): correct prediction.
Who will win South Korea – Ecuador?
Our model gives 1 · South Korea a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: South Korea win 44 %, draw 25 %, Ecuador win 31 %.