Solomon Islands
3-3
Vanuatu
Solomon Islands – Vanuatu
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.06
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Solomon Islands 3-3 Vanuatu. The model predicted a win for Solomon Islands (48 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.60 goals for Solomon Islands and 1.06 for Vanuatu. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 4 %. Over their last five matches, Solomon Islands took 4 points and Vanuatu 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Solomon Islands, 0 draws, 0 wins for Vanuatu. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Solomon Islands | 26.00 | 4 % | +1145.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | +11.4 % |
| 2Vanuatu | 1.21 | 77 % | -64.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Solomon Islands
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vanuatu
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Solomon Islands
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Vanuatu
- Solomon Islands1-0Vanuatu
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Solomon Islands – Vanuatu?
Final score: Solomon Islands 3-3 Vanuatu. The model predicted a win for Solomon Islands (48 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Solomon Islands – Vanuatu?
Our model gives 1 · Solomon Islands a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Solomon Islands win 48 %, draw 23 %, Vanuatu win 29 %.