Aruba
01:00 AM
Sep 24
Antigua and Barbuda
Aruba – Antigua and Barbuda
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 24, 07:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.83 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Aruba at home (53 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.83 goals for Aruba and 1.23 for Antigua and Barbuda. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Aruba took 10 points and Antigua and Barbuda 2 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Aruba, 1 draw, 0 wins for Antigua and Barbuda. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Aruba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Antigua and Barbuda
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Aruba | Form and statistics | Antigua and Barbuda |
|---|---|---|
| 1470 | Elo | 1367 |
| 1.50 | Goals scored / match | 0.30 |
| 1.90 | Goals conceded / match | 2.20 |
| 8.3 | Shots / match | 7.0 |
| 40 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Aruba
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Antigua and Barbuda
- Antigua and Barbuda0-0Aruba
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aruba – Antigua and Barbuda?
Our model gives 1 · Aruba a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Aruba win 53 %, draw 19 %, Antigua and Barbuda win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Aruba – Antigua and Barbuda?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
