Fiji
0-1
Vanuatu
Fiji – Vanuatu
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:56 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.80 – 0.92
The short version
Final score: Fiji 0-1 Vanuatu. The model predicted a win for Fiji (57 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.80 goals for Fiji and 0.92 for Vanuatu. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Fiji took 8 points and Vanuatu 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Fiji, 0 draws, 1 win for Vanuatu. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fiji | 1.90 | 50 % | +8.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | -18.3 % |
| 2Vanuatu | 3.70 | 26 % | -20.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fiji
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vanuatu
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Fiji
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Vanuatu
- Fiji2-1Vanuatu
- Vanuatu2-0Fiji
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fiji – Vanuatu?
Final score: Fiji 0-1 Vanuatu. The model predicted a win for Fiji (57 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Fiji – Vanuatu?
Our model gives 1 · Fiji a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fiji win 57 %, draw 21 %, Vanuatu win 22 %.