Leganés
3-2
Granada
Leganés – Granada
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Leganés 3-2 Granada. The model predicted a win for Leganés (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.22 goals for Leganés and 1.11 for Granada. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 45 %. Over their last five matches, Leganés took 8 points and Granada 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Leganés, 0 draws, 1 win for Granada. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Leganés | 2.10 | 45 % | -21.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -7.0 % |
| 2Granada | 3.70 | 25 % | +22.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Leganés
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Granada
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Leganés
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Granada
- Leganés1-0Granada
- Granada0-2Leganés
- Granada2-0Leganés
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leganés – Granada?
Final score: Leganés 3-2 Granada. The model predicted a win for Leganés (37 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Leganés – Granada?
Our model gives 1 · Leganés a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Leganés win 37 %, draw 30 %, Granada win 33 %.