AC Milan
3-0
Lecce
AC Milan – Lecce
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 69 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.88 – 0.74
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce. The model predicted a win for AC Milan (69 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.88 goals for AC Milan and 0.74 for Lecce. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 76 %. Over their last five matches, AC Milan took 8 points and Lecce 6 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for AC Milan, 0 draws, 0 wins for Lecce. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AC Milan | 1.22 | 76 % | -15.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.88 | 16 % | +15.5 % |
| 2Lecce | 12.00 | 8 % | +32.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AC Milan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lecce
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 5 wins
- AC Milan
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Lecce
- AC Milan1-0Lecce
- AC Milan3-0Lecce
- Lecce0-2AC Milan
- Lecce2-3AC Milan
- AC Milan3-0Lecce
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AC Milan – Lecce?
Final score: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce. The model predicted a win for AC Milan (69 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AC Milan – Lecce?
Our model gives 1 · AC Milan a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AC Milan win 69 %, draw 20 %, Lecce win 11 %.