Panetolikos
1-3
PAOK
Panetolikos – PAOK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.93 – 1.78
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Panetolikos 1-3 PAOK. The model predicted a win for PAOK (58 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.93 goals for Panetolikos and 1.78 for PAOK. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 66 %. Over their last five matches, Panetolikos took 9 points and PAOK 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Panetolikos, 1 draw, 4 wins for PAOK. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Panetolikos | 7.00 | 13 % | +23.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | +8.5 % |
| 2PAOK | 1.43 | 66 % | -16.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Panetolikos
- Last 5 matches
- At home
PAOK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Panetolikos
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- PAOK
- Panetolikos0-3PAOK
- PAOK0-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos0-1PAOK
- PAOK2-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos1-3PAOK
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Panetolikos – PAOK?
Final score: Panetolikos 1-3 PAOK. The model predicted a win for PAOK (58 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Panetolikos – PAOK?
Our model gives 2 · PAOK a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Panetolikos win 18 %, draw 24 %, PAOK win 58 %.