SC Paderborn 07
3-1
TSG Hoffenheim
SC Paderborn 07 – TSG Hoffenheim
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.70
The short version
Final score: SC Paderborn 07 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim. The model predicted a win for TSG Hoffenheim (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.29 goals for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.70 for TSG Hoffenheim. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, SC Paderborn 07 took 7 points and TSG Hoffenheim 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SC Paderborn 07 | 3.88 | 24 % | +10.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.15 | 23 % | +8.4 % |
| 2TSG Hoffenheim | 1.77 | 53 % | -19.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
SC Paderborn 07
- Last 5 matches
- At home
TSG Hoffenheim
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of SC Paderborn 07 – TSG Hoffenheim?
Final score: SC Paderborn 07 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim. The model predicted a win for TSG Hoffenheim (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 – TSG Hoffenheim?
Our model gives 2 · TSG Hoffenheim a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SC Paderborn 07 win 29 %, draw 26 %, TSG Hoffenheim win 45 %.