Modena
2-1
Empoli
Modena – Empoli
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 0.88
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Modena 2-1 Empoli. The model predicted a win for Modena (56 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.57 goals for Modena and 0.88 for Empoli. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 65 %. Over their last five matches, Modena took 7 points and Empoli 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Modena, 1 draw, 0 wins for Empoli. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Modena | 1.44 | 65 % | -20.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.25 | 22 % | +11.5 % |
| 2Empoli | 7.25 | 13 % | +31.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Modena
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Empoli
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Modena
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Empoli
- Empoli0-0Modena
- Modena2-1Empoli
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Modena – Empoli?
Final score: Modena 2-1 Empoli. The model predicted a win for Modena (56 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Modena – Empoli?
Our model gives 1 · Modena a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Modena win 56 %, draw 26 %, Empoli win 18 %.