Predictions are closed for this match.
SK Brann
07:15 PM
Sep 20
Bodo/Glimt
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SK Brann | 5.00 | 19 % | +4.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | +12.4 % |
| 2Bodo/Glimt | 1.52 | 62 % | -14.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
SK Brann
Bodo/Glimt
| SK Brann | Form and statistics | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| 1598 | Elo | 1836 |
| 1.80 | Goals scored / match | 2.70 |
| 1.30 | Goals conceded / match | 1.70 |
| 10.0 | Shots / match | 15.2 |
| 50 % | Win rate | 80 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 6 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · Bodo/Glimt a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SK Brann win 21 %, draw 23 %, Bodo/Glimt win 56 %.
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 64 %, and both teams scoring at 61 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 5.00 for SK Brann, 4.90 for the draw, 1.52 for Bodo/Glimt.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 07:15 PM (Eliteserien), at Brann Stadium.
The model leans towards Bodo/Glimt away from home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.15 goals for SK Brann and 2.14 for Bodo/Glimt. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 62 %. Over their last five matches, SK Brann took 5 points and Bodo/Glimt 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for SK Brann, 0 draws, 4 wins for Bodo/Glimt. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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