Predictions are closed for this match.
Amed SFK
07:00 PM
Sep 20
Besiktas
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Amed SFK | 3.85 | 24 % | +4.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +0.3 % |
| 2Besiktas | 1.86 | 51 % | -13.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Amed SFK
Besiktas
| Amed SFK | Form and statistics | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| 1535 | Elo | 1700 |
| 2.40 | Goals scored / match | 2.10 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded / match | 0.60 |
| 15.6 | Shots / match | 18.3 |
| 60 % | Win rate | 80 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 2 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · Besiktas a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Amed SFK win 27 %, draw 26 %, Besiktas win 46 %.
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 55 %, and both teams scoring at 58 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 3.85 for Amed SFK, 3.80 for the draw, 1.86 for Besiktas.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (Süper Lig), at Diyarbakir Stadyumu.
The model leans towards Besiktas away from home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.27 goals for Amed SFK and 1.63 for Besiktas. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Amed SFK took 10 points and Besiktas 12 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
Nobody has voted yet. Be the first.
