Santa Clara
0-0
Braga
Santa Clara – Braga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.42 – 1.11
The short version
Final score: Santa Clara 0-0 Braga. The model predicted a win for Santa Clara (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.42 goals for Santa Clara and 1.11 for Braga. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 27 %. Over their last five matches, Santa Clara took 13 points and Braga 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Santa Clara, 1 draw, 3 wins for Braga. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Santa Clara | 3.48 | 27 % | +43.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -11.7 % |
| 2Braga | 2.20 | 43 % | -33.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Santa Clara
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Braga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Santa Clara
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Braga
- Santa Clara2-1Braga
- Braga1-0Santa Clara
- Braga1-1Santa Clara
- Santa Clara0-2Braga
- Braga5-3Santa Clara
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Santa Clara – Braga?
Final score: Santa Clara 0-0 Braga. The model predicted a win for Santa Clara (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Santa Clara – Braga?
Our model gives 1 · Santa Clara a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Santa Clara win 41 %, draw 28 %, Braga win 30 %.