Predictions are closed for this match.
Club Brugge
06:30 PM
Sep 20
Racing Genk
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Club Brugge | 1.50 | 62 % | +4.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.45 | 21 % | -26.6 % |
| 2Racing Genk | 5.63 | 17 % | -23.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Club Brugge
Racing Genk
| Club Brugge | Form and statistics | Racing Genk |
|---|---|---|
| 1791 | Elo | 1622 |
| 2.60 | Goals scored / match | 1.60 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded / match | 1.00 |
| 18.2 | Shots / match | 16.2 |
| 70 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 7 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Club Brugge a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Club Brugge win 70 %, draw 17 %, Racing Genk win 14 %.
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 68 %, and both teams scoring at 60 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.50 for Club Brugge, 4.45 for the draw, 5.63 for Racing Genk.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (Belgian Pro League), at Jan Breydel Stadium.
The model leans towards Club Brugge at home (70 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.48 goals for Club Brugge and 1.04 for Racing Genk. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 62 %. Over their last five matches, Club Brugge took 9 points and Racing Genk 9 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for Club Brugge, 0 draws, 0 wins for Racing Genk. Over 2.5 goals: 68 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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