Villarreal
3-1
Levante
Villarreal – Levante
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.78 – 1.08
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Villarreal 3-1 Levante. The model predicted a win for Villarreal (53 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.78 goals for Villarreal and 1.08 for Levante. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, Villarreal took 3 points and Levante 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Villarreal, 0 draws, 0 wins for Levante. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Villarreal | 1.55 | 61 % | -17.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | +12.1 % |
| 2Levante | 5.50 | 17 % | +21.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Villarreal
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Levante
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Villarreal
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Levante
- Villarreal5-1Levante
- Levante0-1Villarreal
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Villarreal – Levante?
Final score: Villarreal 3-1 Levante. The model predicted a win for Villarreal (53 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Villarreal – Levante?
Our model gives 1 · Villarreal a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Villarreal win 53 %, draw 25 %, Levante win 22 %.