Las Palmas
1-2
Burgos
Las Palmas – Burgos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.00
The short version
Final score: Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos. The model predicted a win for Las Palmas (46 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.40 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Burgos. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Las Palmas took 10 points and Burgos 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Las Palmas, 2 draws, 0 wins for Burgos. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Las Palmas | 1.95 | 48 % | -10.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -5.6 % |
| 2Burgos | 4.10 | 23 % | +3.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Las Palmas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Burgos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Las Palmas
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Burgos
- Las Palmas0-0Burgos
- Burgos0-0Las Palmas
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Las Palmas – Burgos?
Final score: Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos. The model predicted a win for Las Palmas (46 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Las Palmas – Burgos?
Our model gives 1 · Las Palmas a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Las Palmas win 46 %, draw 29 %, Burgos win 25 %.