Viborg FF
06:00 PM
Sep 20
FC Nordsjælland
Viborg FF – FC Nordsjælland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Nordsjælland away from home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.23 goals for Viborg FF and 1.64 for FC Nordsjælland. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Viborg FF took 10 points and FC Nordsjælland 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Viborg FF, 0 draws, 3 wins for FC Nordsjælland. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viborg FF | 3.15 | 30 % | -10.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -1.8 % |
| 2FC Nordsjælland | 2.10 | 45 % | -5.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Viborg FF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Nordsjælland
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Viborg FF | Form and statistics | FC Nordsjælland |
|---|---|---|
| 1564 | Elo | 1683 |
| 1.30 | Goals scored / match | 2.20 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 0.70 |
| 14.4 | Shots / match | 18.7 |
| 40 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Viborg FF
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- FC Nordsjælland
- Viborg FF1-0FC Nordsjælland
- FC Nordsjælland2-1Viborg FF
- Viborg FF2-1FC Nordsjælland
- FC Nordsjælland1-0Viborg FF
- FC Nordsjælland2-1Viborg FF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Viborg FF – FC Nordsjælland?
Our model gives 2 · FC Nordsjælland a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Viborg FF win 28 %, draw 27 %, FC Nordsjælland win 45 %.
What is the most likely score for Viborg FF – FC Nordsjælland?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.