Fulham
1-1
Manchester United
Fulham – Manchester United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.57
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Fulham 1-1 Manchester United. The model predicted a win for Manchester United (43 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.26 goals for Fulham and 1.57 for Manchester United. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, Fulham took 7 points and Manchester United 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Fulham, 2 draws, 3 wins for Manchester United. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fulham | 3.55 | 27 % | +9.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.77 | 25 % | -0.6 % |
| 2Manchester United | 2.00 | 48 % | -14.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fulham
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Manchester United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Fulham
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Manchester United
- Manchester United3-2Fulham
- Fulham1-1Manchester United
- Manchester United1-1Fulham
- Fulham0-1Manchester United
- Manchester United1-0Fulham
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fulham – Manchester United?
Final score: Fulham 1-1 Manchester United. The model predicted a win for Manchester United (43 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Fulham – Manchester United?
Our model gives 2 · Manchester United a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fulham win 31 %, draw 26 %, Manchester United win 43 %.