Nice
2-1
Lille
Nice – Lille
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 1.45
The short version
Final score: Nice 2-1 Lille. The model predicted a win for Lille (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.00 goals for Nice and 1.45 for Lille. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Nice took 2 points and Lille 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Nice, 3 draws, 1 win for Lille. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nice | 3.15 | 30 % | -27.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.52 | 27 % | -7.1 % |
| 2Lille | 2.23 | 43 % | +12.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Nice
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lille
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Nice
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Lille
- Lille0-0Nice
- Nice2-0Lille
- Lille2-1Nice
- Nice2-2Lille
- Lille2-2Nice
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nice – Lille?
Final score: Nice 2-1 Lille. The model predicted a win for Lille (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Nice – Lille?
Our model gives 2 · Lille a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Nice win 23 %, draw 26 %, Lille win 50 %.