Mantova
2-2
Pisa
Mantova – Pisa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.69 – 0.97
The short version
Final score: Mantova 2-2 Pisa. The model predicted a win for Mantova (51 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.69 goals for Mantova and 0.97 for Pisa. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. Over their last five matches, Mantova took 10 points and Pisa 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Mantova, 0 draws, 2 wins for Pisa. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mantova | 2.67 | 35 % | +36.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.23 | 29 % | -6.8 % |
| 2Pisa | 2.60 | 36 % | -48.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Mantova
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Pisa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Mantova
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Pisa
- Pisa3-1Mantova
- Mantova2-3Pisa
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mantova – Pisa?
Final score: Mantova 2-2 Pisa. The model predicted a win for Mantova (51 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Mantova – Pisa?
Our model gives 1 · Mantova a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mantova win 51 %, draw 29 %, Pisa win 20 %.