Jotun Arena
Sandefjord
3-0
IK Start
Sandefjord – IK Start
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.78 – 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sandefjord 3-0 IK Start. The model predicted a win for Sandefjord (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.78 goals for Sandefjord and 1.04 for IK Start. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Sandefjord took 5 points and IK Start 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sandefjord | 2.20 | 43 % | +18.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -13.7 % |
| 2IK Start | 3.20 | 30 % | -31.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sandefjord
- Last 5 matches
- At home
IK Start
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sandefjord – IK Start?
Final score: Sandefjord 3-0 IK Start. The model predicted a win for Sandefjord (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sandefjord – IK Start?
Our model gives 1 · Sandefjord a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sandefjord win 54 %, draw 25 %, IK Start win 21 %.