RB Salzburg
3-0
SK Sturm Graz
RB Salzburg – SK Sturm Graz
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.65 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: RB Salzburg 3-0 SK Sturm Graz. The model predicted a win for RB Salzburg (52 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.65 goals for RB Salzburg and 1.02 for SK Sturm Graz. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 64 %. Over their last five matches, RB Salzburg took 13 points and SK Sturm Graz 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for RB Salzburg, 3 draws, 2 wins for SK Sturm Graz. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1RB Salzburg | 1.48 | 64 % | -22.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | +28.9 % |
| 2SK Sturm Graz | 5.50 | 17 % | +17.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
RB Salzburg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SK Sturm Graz
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- RB Salzburg
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- SK Sturm Graz
- RB Salzburg1-1SK Sturm Graz
- SK Sturm Graz1-1RB Salzburg
- SK Sturm Graz1-1RB Salzburg
- RB Salzburg0-2SK Sturm Graz
- SK Sturm Graz4-2RB Salzburg
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of RB Salzburg – SK Sturm Graz?
Final score: RB Salzburg 3-0 SK Sturm Graz. The model predicted a win for RB Salzburg (52 %): correct prediction.
Who will win RB Salzburg – SK Sturm Graz?
Our model gives 1 · RB Salzburg a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: RB Salzburg win 52 %, draw 26 %, SK Sturm Graz win 21 %.