NEC Nijmegen
1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.90 – 1.31
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles. The model predicted a win for NEC Nijmegen (51 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.90 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.31 for Go Ahead Eagles. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, NEC Nijmegen took 4 points and Go Ahead Eagles 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for NEC Nijmegen, 1 draw, 3 wins for Go Ahead Eagles. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1NEC Nijmegen | 2.27 | 42 % | +16.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | -3.3 % |
| 2Go Ahead Eagles | 2.84 | 34 % | -32.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
NEC Nijmegen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Go Ahead Eagles
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- NEC Nijmegen
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Go Ahead Eagles
- NEC Nijmegen2-1Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles1-1NEC Nijmegen
- NEC Nijmegen2-3Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles5-0NEC Nijmegen
- NEC Nijmegen1-2Go Ahead Eagles
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles?
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles. The model predicted a win for NEC Nijmegen (51 %): missed prediction.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles?
Our model gives 1 · NEC Nijmegen a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: NEC Nijmegen win 51 %, draw 25 %, Go Ahead Eagles win 24 %.