Estrela
0-2
Académico de Viseu
Estrela – Académico de Viseu
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Estrela 0-2 Académico de Viseu. The model predicted a win for Estrela (48 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.54 goals for Estrela and 0.98 for Académico de Viseu. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Estrela took 9 points and Académico de Viseu 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Estrela | 2.17 | 43 % | +5.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.38 | 28 % | -6.2 % |
| 2Académico de Viseu | 3.25 | 29 % | -22.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Estrela
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Académico de Viseu
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Estrela – Académico de Viseu?
Final score: Estrela 0-2 Académico de Viseu. The model predicted a win for Estrela (48 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Estrela – Académico de Viseu?
Our model gives 1 · Estrela a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Estrela win 48 %, draw 28 %, Académico de Viseu win 24 %.