Nordstern Arena Horsens
AC Horsens
2-2
AGF
AC Horsens – AGF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.19 – 1.61
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AC Horsens 2-2 AGF. The model predicted a win for AGF (46 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.19 goals for AC Horsens and 1.61 for AGF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, AC Horsens took 9 points and AGF 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AC Horsens | 4.20 | 23 % | +10.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | +5.5 % |
| 2AGF | 1.80 | 53 % | -16.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AC Horsens
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AGF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AC Horsens – AGF?
Final score: AC Horsens 2-2 AGF. The model predicted a win for AGF (46 %): missed prediction.
Who will win AC Horsens – AGF?
Our model gives 2 · AGF a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AC Horsens win 26 %, draw 27 %, AGF win 46 %.