Predictions are closed for this match.
Levadiakos
04:00 PM
Sep 20
Olympiacos
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Levadiakos | 9.00 | 10 % | +37.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | +11.7 % |
| 2Olympiacos | 1.35 | 70 % | -17.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Levadiakos
Olympiacos
| Levadiakos | Form and statistics | Olympiacos |
|---|---|---|
| 1512 | Elo | 1729 |
| 1.20 | Goals scored / match | 0.90 |
| 1.80 | Goals conceded / match | 0.70 |
| 10.8 | Shots / match | 17.9 |
| 30 % | Win rate | 40 % |
| 6 | Rest days | 3 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · Olympiacos a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Levadiakos win 15 %, draw 24 %, Olympiacos win 61 %.
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 52 %, and both teams scoring at 49 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 9.00 for Levadiakos, 4.70 for the draw, 1.35 for Olympiacos.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (Super League Greece), at Levadia Municipal Stadium.
The model leans towards Olympiacos away from home (61 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.85 goals for Levadiakos and 1.91 for Olympiacos. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 70 %. Over their last five matches, Levadiakos took 1 point and Olympiacos 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Levadiakos, 2 draws, 2 wins for Olympiacos. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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