Predictions are closed for this match.
Fenerbahce
04:00 PM
Sep 20
Eyupspor
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fenerbahce | 1.15 | 82 % | -9.6 % |
| XDraw | 8.00 | 12 % | +17.5 % |
| 2Eyupspor | 16.00 | 6 % | +7.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Fenerbahce
Eyupspor
| Fenerbahce | Form and statistics | Eyupspor |
|---|---|---|
| 1746 | Elo | 1439 |
| 1.50 | Goals scored / match | 1.50 |
| 0.90 | Goals conceded / match | 1.30 |
| 15.3 | Shots / match | 10.9 |
| 50 % | Win rate | 40 % |
| 5 | Rest days | 8 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Fenerbahce a 79 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fenerbahce win 79 %, draw 15 %, Eyupspor win 7 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 64 %, and both teams scoring at 47 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.15 for Fenerbahce, 8.00 for the draw, 16.00 for Eyupspor.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (Süper Lig), at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium.
The model leans towards Fenerbahce at home (79 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.57 goals for Fenerbahce and 0.71 for Eyupspor. Bookmakers say the same thing: 82 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fenerbahce took 8 points and Eyupspor 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Fenerbahce, 2 draws, 0 wins for Eyupspor. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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