AJ Auxerre
2-1
Brest
AJ Auxerre – Brest
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.34 – 1.37
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AJ Auxerre 2-1 Brest. The model predicted a win for AJ Auxerre (36 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.34 goals for AJ Auxerre and 1.37 for Brest. Bookmakers say the same thing: 32 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AJ Auxerre took 6 points and Brest 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for AJ Auxerre, 1 draw, 2 wins for Brest. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AJ Auxerre | 2.95 | 32 % | +5.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.58 | 27 % | +3.6 % |
| 2Brest | 2.33 | 41 % | -17.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AJ Auxerre
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brest
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- AJ Auxerre
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Brest
- AJ Auxerre3-0Brest
- Brest2-0AJ Auxerre
- Brest2-2AJ Auxerre
- AJ Auxerre3-0Brest
- Brest1-0AJ Auxerre
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AJ Auxerre – Brest?
Final score: AJ Auxerre 2-1 Brest. The model predicted a win for AJ Auxerre (36 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AJ Auxerre – Brest?
Our model gives 1 · AJ Auxerre a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AJ Auxerre win 36 %, draw 29 %, Brest win 35 %.