Parma
2-1
Genoa
Parma – Genoa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.10 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Parma 2-1 Genoa. The model predicted a win for Genoa (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.10 goals for Parma and 1.18 for Genoa. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Parma took 1 point and Genoa 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Parma, 2 draws, 2 wins for Genoa. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Parma | 3.25 | 29 % | +2.1 % |
| XDraw | 2.90 | 32 % | -13.8 % |
| 2Genoa | 2.38 | 39 % | -7.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Parma
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Genoa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Parma
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Genoa
- Parma0-0Genoa
- Genoa0-0Parma
- Genoa1-0Parma
- Parma0-1Genoa
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Parma – Genoa?
Final score: Parma 2-1 Genoa. The model predicted a win for Genoa (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Parma – Genoa?
Our model gives 2 · Genoa a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Parma win 31 %, draw 30 %, Genoa win 39 %.