Arezzo
1-4
Sudtirol
Arezzo – Sudtirol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.44 – 1.05
The short version
Final score: Arezzo 1-4 Sudtirol. The model predicted a win for Arezzo (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.44 goals for Arezzo and 1.05 for Sudtirol. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Arezzo took 6 points and Sudtirol 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Arezzo | 2.27 | 42 % | -7.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.08 | 31 % | -2.0 % |
| 2Sudtirol | 3.40 | 28 % | -6.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Arezzo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sudtirol
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Arezzo – Sudtirol?
Final score: Arezzo 1-4 Sudtirol. The model predicted a win for Arezzo (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Arezzo – Sudtirol?
Our model gives 1 · Arezzo a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Arezzo win 41 %, draw 32 %, Sudtirol win 27 %.