AFC Bournemouth
0-1
Liverpool
AFC Bournemouth – Liverpool
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.52 goals for AFC Bournemouth and 1.38 for Liverpool. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 30 %. Over their last five matches, AFC Bournemouth took 9 points and Liverpool 11 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for AFC Bournemouth, 0 draws, 4 wins for Liverpool. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AFC Bournemouth | 3.13 | 30 % | +25.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -1.9 % |
| 2Liverpool | 2.17 | 44 % | -28.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AFC Bournemouth
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Liverpool
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- AFC Bournemouth
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Liverpool
- AFC Bournemouth3-2Liverpool
- Liverpool4-2AFC Bournemouth
- AFC Bournemouth0-2Liverpool
- Liverpool3-0AFC Bournemouth
- AFC Bournemouth0-4Liverpool
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth – Liverpool?
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (40 %): missed prediction.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth – Liverpool?
Our model gives 1 · AFC Bournemouth a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AFC Bournemouth win 40 %, draw 27 %, Liverpool win 33 %.