Intility Arena
Vålerenga
1-1
Fredrikstad
Vålerenga – Fredrikstad
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.61 – 1.37
The short version
Final score: Vålerenga 1-1 Fredrikstad. The model predicted a win for Vålerenga (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.61 goals for Vålerenga and 1.37 for Fredrikstad. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Vålerenga took 2 points and Fredrikstad 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Vålerenga, 2 draws, 1 win for Fredrikstad. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vålerenga | 1.86 | 50 % | -22.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 23 % | +9.5 % |
| 2Fredrikstad | 3.60 | 26 % | +12.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Vålerenga
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Fredrikstad
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Vålerenga
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Fredrikstad
- Fredrikstad1-1Vålerenga
- Vålerenga1-1Fredrikstad
- Fredrikstad2-0Vålerenga
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vålerenga – Fredrikstad?
Final score: Vålerenga 1-1 Fredrikstad. The model predicted a win for Vålerenga (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Vålerenga – Fredrikstad?
Our model gives 1 · Vålerenga a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vålerenga win 41 %, draw 27 %, Fredrikstad win 31 %.